We are in the enviable position of trying to figure out how to win three races in a row! As I’ve mentioned, this isn’t exactly the spot we wanted to be in, mucking it up with the boys, but not getting the low level maiden race for girls to go, we had to run here.
Given this field, things aren’t as bad as you’d think. All but two in here are three year olds and one of the older horses is a 5-year old first time starter.
Let’s go through the field.
Youwonderwhyidrink (Bolinger/Chirinos) – Iowa bred has been toiling in Nebraska. Looks like an off the pace type.
Blacks Ferry Road (Hornsby/Felix) – Pair of relatively flat efforts since moving here from Arkansas. Will be cutting back this race from a mile last out.
Shehe (Rarick/Lindsay) – Five year old first time starter would indicate that there has been some issues in the past. Relatively steady work pattern since arriving here.
Rockthepulpit (Raven/Arietta) – Looks to be the lone speed in the race and has a top poilot on board. Solid efforts at Will Rogers and first try here was a third. New barn is 18% off the claim with a large flat bet profit with that angle.
Rahaal (Villafranco/Loveberry) – Top outfit is cutting back in distance. Local efforts were just okay after a couple of solid efforts in Oklahoma. Should want to sit just off the pace and should definitely improve on the cutback in distance. If Rockthepulpit is pressured, he could be the one to pick up the pieces.
Dazzling Reunion (L Litfin/Butler) – Tried higher on the turf in his local debut where he pressed the speed but faltered. Cuts back from a mile and should have a better effort and be in the mix longer.
Hard to know what to make of this race for us. She really didn’t show us enough to get a feel for her in her last. We do know that she fired from the gate beautifully and was aggressive in the start. We also know that turn came up on her quicker than she expected and hard time navigating it so quickly. Once she blew the turn and got bumped around she just gave up.
She gets more of a sweeping turn on the dirt as well as have more time to be prepared for it going six furlongs. With apprentice rider Kelsey Harr we get a five pound weight allowance (apprentices traditionally get a weight allowance to get started in order to encourage trainers to use them). As a 3-year old we’re allowed another five pounds (as the other threes are). And then as a filly against males we get another five pounds. So we are running 10 pounds lighter than most and 15 lighter than a couple.
She’s been working very well and everyone who has ridden her thinks she has some talent. If she can pull it all together, we should have a good run. With a little luck, it could be even better!
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!
Here is the surprising (and hopefully accurate!) outlook from Scott Ehlers at the DRF (though it appears he missed that she’s a filly):
FURZY was off slow in his debut so there is your excuse. Maybe he wasn’t ready for two turns in his second start. Then he came here and tried the same but on the grass but did little. Now he gets back to a dirt sprint and gets a weight break all while dropping in class. The Litfin barn has been hot of late. ROCKTHEPULPIT has solid figs and good speed. New barn is 18% off the claim. There isn’t much pace in this race so this gelding could be long gone on the front end. RAHAAL has some solid tries at Oaklawn. His last two locally were just even efforts. Maybe this colt doesn’t like two turns? SHEHE is by a 12% debut sire. His dam was un-raced and this is her first foal. This gelding is a 5YO.
Other DRF analysis: