Race Preview: Satellite

Satellite will be closing out the card Monday evening in a $5000 claiming race for horses that have not won a race since May 10.  The race is a mile over the dirt. We’ll break from the outside under Ry Eikleberry.

But wait, you say, we have won a race this year.  And Blue Bomber has as well!  You can see that Out of Patience won too, but it was prior to May 10.  Satellite and Blue Bomber both won their races at $4000 and the conditions stipulate that races under $5000 do not count toward the conditions of the race.  So for the purposes of this particular race, neither of us has a win yet.

I shall have the previous two winners’ circle photos with me tomorrow evening.  We’ll be a little late getting up from Rochester but in plenty of time for the race – no worries there. We cannot be in the paddock but I will be outside the paddock before the race. Should we be fortunate to win, we will see what we can work out for the winners’ circle, but let’s not put the cart before the horse, so to speak.

If you are coming out for the race: PLEASE MAKE SURE TO MAKE YOUR RESERVATIONS! Jeff sent you all out an email with the specifics on how to do that.  You HAVE to follow the instructions on that email. If you have not received it, please send Jeff or a I a note and we will get it out to you.

Now for the race:

Money Broker (Gawerecki/Butler): Lost by 14 last out to Blue Bomber and by 3 to us two back.  He’ll sit mid-pack and try and make a run.

Slick As Ice (Padilla/Quinonez): Ran out of room chasing Blue Bomber in his last coming up short by a length and a quarter.  Will likely wind up for one long run late.

Logan’s Leopard (Rumsey/Carter): Stretching back out. Last time he ran a mile was against us where he came up short by 11 1/2.

Out of Patience (Van Winkle/Lindsay): Dropping in from $7500 where he closed to be third going a mile.  Two back he ran against Unleash the Beast, Hamazing Vision and Blue Bomber.  While he was well beaten it was a considerably more difficult field and all three of those mentioned earlier came back to win. Shouldn’t be too far off the pace and will try and close. Shouldn’t be overlooked.

Blue Bomber (Diodoro/Arietta): Very impressive in his last where he was handicapped by a bad start and still managed to win by more than a length.

Herbie (Flores/Chirinos): Herbie will go to the lead and try and stay there.  He was unable in his last couple of starts – once against us and in his last race going a bit shorter where he finished 2nd.

SATELLITE (BROBERG/EIKLEBERRY)

Satellite won last out by tracking the speed and outrunning the field down the lane and I wouldn’t expect a much different strategy this time out.

We all know that Herbie will head to the lead and, at first glance, it looks like he’ll be alone up there.  However if you look closer at morning line favorite Blue Bomber, don’t be surprised to see him there as well.

He had trouble last time out getting going and was still able to rally to win.  In his 2020 Canterbury debut, he was likely overmatched in the $10,000 optional claimer/$5000 starter race – where he finished a very good 4th behind horses having great Canterbury seasons.  Prior to those races, however, he pressed the pace or was on the lead.  Pressing Herbie would not be the worst thing in the world for us.

Out of Patience should to be running late, but likely starting a bit behind us so Ry should be able to get first run on the leaders.  That will leave one simple question late: will we be good enough to go by and win while holding off the closer?

We should know the answer to that by about 8:45 tomorrow.

GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!

NEW ADMISSION PROCEDURE

You all should have received an email from Jeff today letting you know of the new procedure for attending the race on Monday. The email spells out the steps you need to take in order to make your reservation.

I wanted to get it out here so you don’t overlook it in your email that you used to sign up for the Club.

If you do NOT receive the email, please let Jeff or I know via email.  We will check with the 2020 Club list and then re-send you the information.

You HAVE to use this procedure.  There is NO walk up ticketing for Clubbers.

Look forward to seeing you at the races!

Satellite in on Monday

The race we wanted finally filled and Satellite will be part of the field closing out Monday night at Canterbury.

The race is a $5000 for horses that have not won a race since May 10 or never won 4 races.  How did we qualify, you ask?  He’s won more than four races AND we just won last out, well after May 10.

There was a stipulation in the conditions that said that races that were $4000 claimers or less do not count toward the total or the date.  Since our last win was in a $4,000 claiming race, it doesn’t count for purposes of this race.

The race is going a mile over the main track.  We drew the outside, post 7, with Ry Eikleberry aboard.

There are some familiar foes like Herbie and another hard knocker like Blue Bomber.  It should be a good one and is scheduled for roughly 8:35 PM.

As of right now admission policy will be the same as the last few races: there is a list at the ticket office and you’ll get your wrist band and need to stay on track level.  This is being stringently enforced now, so keep that in mind.  And, again, this is for the Clubber only.  Friends and family will need to go through the reservations procedures. Masks are required.

There is no paddock access.  Should we be lucky enough to win we will have to see what we can do at that time for winners’ circle access.

I will have the packets of pictures with me before the race.  I will be outside our number at the paddock before our race as well as on the apron during and just afterward.  I have about 40 copies of each.  Should we run out, I will order more.

Lilly is doing well and ready to enter.  As soon as a low-mid level claiming, non-winners of 2 turf sprint is up, we’ll be entering.

Entry Rebuffed!

We entered Satellite today (and last week!) and, again, the race didn’t fill.  So he’s ready and the race is coming back as an extra on Monday so we’re going to try again.

Lilly is ready to go as well and Nevada has a race in mind so we’ll be looking to enter her as well.

With any luck as all we will have a couple of entries to crow about next week and start the second half of the racing season the week after.

Horse Update, Latest Financials, Pic Info

It was a bit odd having a quiet week last week after a bunch of races so close together, but all is well.

Furzy has moved on.  She was placed almost immediately by Doc. Bowman’s Second Chance Thoroughbred Adoption so she should be nestled into her new home and new job by now.

Lilly came our of the stake a little sore.  Not “omg her ankle!” sore but “man did I get banged around” sore.  Totally makes sense the way she missed that first turn and pinballed a little bit.  Nothing wring with that and she gets an additional week to recoup.  Let’s not forget either that she had 2 races in 13 days, so a little extra time is warranted.

Satellite is ready to go.  We entered him on Wednesday and Thursday in basically the same type of race – low level claiming race going a mile over the dirt.  However neither race filled so we’ll try again this week, most likely on Thursday given the races in the condition book, though you never know when an extra shows up, so Karl will stay aware and ready.

Whenever the next race is, I will have with me packs of winners’ circle photos for those that want them.  I have 37 of each, if I run out, we’ll order more.  I’ll remind everyone before the next race so nobody forgets.

Finally, below is the most recent financials based upon what I have now.  We will get July’s training bills in about a week as well as the vet bills.  The expenses I did know, I included.

Basically, after the July bills are paid, we’re only out the price of the horses – earnings have covered about all our training so far. That’s not bad and we’re not finished yet!

OCRC2020 – Running financials 7-25

 

 

A Little Trouble, A Little Run, Hope Going Forward

Naturally that wasn’t the finish we wanted to see in the Northbound Pride but we took a chance and I hope everyone enjoyed the ride.  I think we can all agree that Ask Bailey is one impressive filly as well.  Away from the races as long as she was and was able to cruise effortlessly from last to the lead and then draw off  to win by more than four.

Lil broke really well but had a hard time settling through the first turn.  Jockey Alonso Quinonez said she was fighting the turn a bit, almost like she came up on it too quickly.  He said that if she were smooth, he could have got to the lead but the priority was keeping her under control through the turn and straighten her out down the backside.  By the time she settled, she was out of sorts and out of contention.

There is a bright spot, though.  As they turned for home she only had one horse beat and she took aim and was determined not to finished last.  She tried until the end and wanted to win something! It was good to see that kind of effort.

Would she have won if she handled the turn better? I can’t imagine that as good as Ask Bailey is, but this was a very talented group and we probably won’t be seeing the likes of this batch again this season.

So we move forward.  She’s had two races in less than two weeks, so she’ll get a little extra time – about three weeks – and we’ll see the options before us come the turn of the month.  We can go first level allowance, an optional claimer a $16,000 claimer – several options should be there for us.  All will most likely entail going back to five furlongs but definitely staying on the turf.

So while it may have been a disappointing result, it wasn’t a disappointing effort, if that makes any sense.

With Satellite not starting for at least another week, we’ll go from frenzy to a quiet couple of weeks.  I will spend it getting some updates, pulling together the financial information for another spreadsheet update and, I’m thinking, answering some questions.

If you have a question about racing in general, our horses in particular, or anything else you can think of, please shoot me an email at ted@grevelisracing.com and I’ll put together a couple of posts in order to answer them!  Take advantage of the lull, if you will.

 

 

Northbound Pride Stakes Preview

This is a fun first for me – doing a preview for the Club for a stakes race.  The race is the $50,000 Northbound Pride Oaks at one mile over the turf.  Alonso Quinonez will ride and we’re breaking from the middle of the field.

We’re not considered by anyone to be a threat, nor is much expected from our girl as she heads postward in the third tonight.  While we most likely won’t be 46-1, we certainly will be considered an outsider. That’s okay.

Here is a look at the seven horse field.

Ask Bailey (Maker/?) – A new rider will be named today as Florent Geroux has tested positive for COVID-19 and will not make the trip from Kentucky.  She’s only run over the turf and is graded stakes placed at two.  She’s been training very well up to this, her first start of 2020.  An improvement over her best 2019 numbers and she could dust this field.  She’ll be running hard late.

Defend the Rose (Robertson/Chirinos) – One of several in here making their firsst effort over the turf.  Coming in after a gate to wire win in the Frances Genter Stakes.  Early speed is her forte.

Urban Fairytale (Wilkes/Canchari) – Solid Gulfstream Park maiden breaker for the Minnesota owned filly.  The win was at a mile over the turf and she sat off the pace before fighting hard to hold on for the win.  Gutsy and talented, she hasn’t raced since that race on March 29th but has been working consistently in Kentucky.

LILFEATHEREDINDIAN (LITFIN/QUINONEZ)

Delia O’Hara (Davis/Butler) – First time over the turf after a very impressive maiden breaking sprint in her first local start.  She had been coming from off the pace in the Southwest as a 2-year old but was right up on the lead in the win.

Machos Vision (Biehler/Biehler) – A stakes winner on the dirt at two at this distance in Oklahoma.  Gave the turf a go here last out where she tired a bit pushing the pace against a very good field led by multiple stakes winner Some Say So (who won), a race that is better than the running line suggests.  Mom, Machorina, was a multiple turf winner at Canterbury and finished 4th in this very race in 2010.

Smart N Wicked (Jose L Silva/Velazquez) – First try over the turf after a winning effort – close to the pace – last out here in a $12,500 optional claiming race. She was stakes placed at 2 at Zia Park and she’ll also be stretching out for the first time.

If there is one thing we should have learned from Lilly’s last out is that we can never say never.

First, the issues:

  • Obviously this is quite a step up.  For several in here though, we’re ALL making the same jump up in class.
  • Again, like several others, we’re stretching out after sprinting.
  • We’re a front runner, again, like many in here.

The above issues aren’t a secret, they’re obvious.  However, we don’t know how the others will handle the jump in class, the stretch out or how the pace will develop.

It would seem that it will be very hard to win this thing gate to wire given the amount of early speed, but how will some of the other speedsters handle the turf?  The turf course has been relatively kind of front runners and with little rain yesterday and none forecasted for today, speed may still carry.  Will we try and steal this on the front end? I don’t know, but I think it will be hard to get in front and control the pace with the amount of pace pressure that should be there.

Can Lil perhaps rate a little? We have no idea.  Her dirt PPs were so bad it is hard to tell if she can rate or not.  It could be risky to try it in this spot in case it’s not in her wheelhouse.

Stretching out may be an issue for her, sure, but she should be able to carry her speed further on this turf course.  Given more time, Nevada could have trained her differently to prep for the distance changed, but we didn’t have than.  That said, she came out the last race wonderfully.  She was not emptied out in that start and hopefully has gas still in the tank.

Alsonso knows Lil.  He’ll play the cards he’s going to be dealt at the break and we’ll see where it takes us.  The intangibles are on our side: she’s tough, she’s aggressive and she has heart – all things that can’t be trained.

It’s a unique situation we’re in here, so enjoy the day, the build up and the experience.  We may not get here again!

GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY!!

DRF Prognosticators

Below is the detailed analysis of our race from the Daily Racing Form as well as some of their selectors’ choices. Don’t strain your eyes too much – we’re not in there.  But then, we weren’t two weeks ago either, were we?

I did forget to mention in the last post that the admission policy will be same as last week: ALL Clubbers name will be at Will Call. Same procedure: get your temp taken at the front door (masked up), go over to the ticket window to your left and pick up your ticket.  Your admission is good for the track level during racing.  

ASK BAILEY has tried nothing but the turf in her career so bonus points for that. She is bred to love routing and we think a flat mile is her best distance. She gets a ton of pace to chase. She will have the back of the pack to herself and that sure sounds like a relaxing place. Her late kick should be powerful and best. U

RBAN FAIRYTALE goes from maidens to stakes and maybe that helps her price just a tad. She did cost a cool 250 grand. She got a 71 Beyer on the turf at Keeneland as a 2YO so we know she can do better now. Work tab is quite good. Best of all is that she wants to pass runners and gets a fast pace to work with.

SMART N WICKED is by a 3% debut turf sire. Her dam went 9-5-2-0 on the grass and earned 89K (won turf debut). Lone grass sib is 3-0-1-1 (earned 2K). Maybe this filly is the speed of the speed.

DEFEND THE ROSE is by a 14% debut turf sire. Her dam went 4-0-0-1 on the green and earned 4K. Lone grass sib is 2-0-1-1 and earned 9K.

DELIA O’HARA is by a 9% debut turf sire. Her dam never tried the grass. Lone grass sib is 5-0-0-1 (earned $4,718).

By Scott Ehlers 137-24(77)

1 Ask Bailey
3 Urban Fairytale
7 Smart N Wicked

By HERMIS Kenny Peck

3 Urban Fairytale
1 Ask Bailey
6 Machos Vision

By HANDICAP Marcus Hersh

1 Ask Bailey
3 Urban Fairytale
7 Smart N Wicked

By Consensus 137-39

1 Ask Bailey
3 Urban Fairytale
7 Smart N Wicked

Gearing Up for the Northbound Pride Oaks

We’re down to only a few days left until the first stakes start in Club history!  To recap, Lilfeatheredindian is entered in the $50,000 Northbound Pride Oaks Wednesday night.  The race is the 3rd, on the turf, and we’ll broke from post 4 for the mile race.  Alonso Quinonez rides.

Some operational matters before we get to Nevada’s video.

Satellite is recovering from his win and working toward his next start.  Furzy has been retired from racing.  She was donated to Doc Bowman’s Second Chance Thoroughbred Adoption (https://bowmanthoroughbredadoption.com/) and they already had a new owner lined up for her for her second career either as an eventing horse of hunter/jumper.  She’s healthy and young and should have a great second career.

At our next start (after the stake, that day is going to be a little crazy for us), I will have the win photos for folks who want them.  I had serval dozen printed and will hand out to all that want them.  If I run out, I’ll order some more.  From that point forward I will have them at all our starts, knowing that folks can’t make it our for every race

We still have no access to the paddock for the Club.  There are just too many of us in too small a space.  I will be outside the fence by our number 4 before the race.  I don’t know much before the race – it depends on how quickly we can get out of Rochester – but we’ll make the race.

Learning after her last race to never say never, should we win we are going to have to play the winners’ circle by ear and get the track’s help and guidance.  Much has changed in just the last few days (http://www.mwpaddockreport.com/canterbury-cancels-training-saturday-issues-statement-adds-safety-measures) and, as the Racing Club, we have an obligation to model the correct protocols.  That said, please don’t forget your masks and wear them properly!

Now, without further ado, here is Nevada with the latest on Lilly.